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GPIQ vs DIY Covered Calls on QQQ: Income ETF vs Manual

For an income investor, the question with a covered call ETF is not just whether it pays a high distribution. It is whether that income comes at a reasonable cost in capped upside, drawdowns and risk-adjusted return.

To test that, we compared GPIQ against a grid of DIY covered call strategies on QQQ over the same 2-year period.

How to read the heatmap

CAPAlpha heatmap of QQQ covered call strategies over 2 years: annualised return vs holding QQQ and monthly Sortino, by tenor (1 week to 6 months) and strike distance (1% to 10% OTM)

  • each column is the strike distance from spot, from 1% to 10% out of the money;
  • each row is the tenor, from 1 week to 6 months;
  • the large number is the annualised return relative to simply holding QQQ;
  • the smaller number is the monthly Sortino ratio.

GPIQ vs QQQ

Over the matched period:

Total return Annualised return Monthly Sortino
QQQ +53.0% about 23.6% 3.67
GPIQ +50.7% about 22.7% 3.96

GPIQ stayed close to QQQ on total return, with less than 1% a year of drag, and had a higher monthly Sortino.

GPIQ vs the DIY grid

GPIQ outperformed 61 of the 70 DIY covered call configurations in the grid.

The DIY setups that did better were mostly short-dated and far out of the money: weekly or biweekly calls, roughly 8% to 10% OTM. Those cells are worth looking at, but they are also probably the most sensitive to real-world frictions: spreads, execution, taxes, frequent rolling and gap risk.

Takeaway

An income ETF with a conservative call-selling approach can be a fairly high bar for a simple mechanical DIY strategy, at least in a strong market where retaining upside matters.

This publication is provided for informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, an offer or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Past and simulated performance is not indicative of future results.

Historical backtest observations for research and education only. Not investment advice; past performance does not guarantee future results.

Run this analysis on any stock or ETF.

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